Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

This. There are also a bunch of states that are way behind us on the curve. Many are still at the beginning stages. If people would just stay the **** at home this would be over faster.

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

Not really...

If you want to look at the data here are 3 sites you should pay attention to, or you can just go with your "feel".

Tracking:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Projections by state:
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

CFR and IFR estimates:
https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global...atality-rates/

Avoid being scared by the MSM and look for the data yourself... turn off the TV.

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

Don't see it happening. The numbers are dropping because of social distancing, but this doesn't stop cases in the long run. We'll probably peak, come back down, and have a second wave. China has already started to get reinfected and they haven't even come out of lockdown. A casual Herd immunity for this would require something like 58% of the population to get infected. When asymptomatic carriers are the drivers and it is aerosolized, it's pretty much impossible to stop. Somewhere between 800k and 1.6 million will die in the US over the next 18-24 months from the virus.

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

With all due respect, I mistrust any numbers coming out of China. Their reporting can't be trusted for an eternity of reasons. We need to evaluate based on South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, others in Asia and perhaps Europe and Australia.


My wife is getting tested this afternoon. She works in ER intake and has been having some minor symptoms over the weekend. Could be a false alarm and hoping it's just cold/allergy, but the hospital is requiring employees to be more on the precautionary side.

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

For the greater part people are complying. Yes, there are a handful, or less, of churches still meeting, but there are 99.999% of them following the guidelines.

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

Actually, staying at home makes it last longer. As, I've stated before, there is a misconception when it comes to bending the curve. It suppresses cases. keeps hospitals from being overloaded, but it doesn't get rid of cases. It stretches out the process. This will stick around with us until a certain amount of people have been infected or we get a vaccine. It also allows time to develop monoclonal or polyclonal antibody therapies or other treatments while we are waiting on a vaccine.

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

Where are you getting your numbers from?

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

Yes. I :confused: do.
This situation has to end one day, some day.
I believe the next two weeks are going to be tough.
May , things start getting back in order.
Teams would have been training now. Working out under the trainers, at least.
There will be a setback for all teams in those things.
It is going to be a faster draft. Faster training camp. It will feel faster .

August, preseason.
It is going to happen.

Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening?
 

Oxford/Imperial College models and Michael Osterholm. The models the US are using are assuming China like lockdown scenario and that we won't have a resurgence of cases. Lets do some ballpark math....25% percent of the population gets infected at 1% death rate...about 800k. 50% would be 1.6 million dying..it could be even more than that. The Oxford/Imperial college model puts it between 1-2 million. The idea that we can just lockdown and stop it is ridiculous, especially with asymptomatic carriers being the primary drivers. That's what the US models assume.