SEVERE WEATHER ALERT --- ISAAC HEADS UP

CharityMike · 08-26-2012, 12:23 AM

I know this isn't the place for this but I feel the need to let my B&G brothers and sisters that may not know what is going on right now. If you have been watching the news lately and are waiting for them to tell you to do something, DON'T.

The news will ONLY go by what the NHC says. If you watch the weather channel and pay close attention and read between the lines, they have been hinting at a model shift all day.

The 0z GFS model run just finished up. It does not look good for us is SELA. Make your plans now!! As soon as this news is broad casted, it's going to be chaos.

A GREAT site I go to is gulfcoastwx.com. A lot of pro mets and meteorology students on this site. Constant model runs you will not hear about on the local news.

I am sorry if I am alarming anyone. I went through Katrina and we were somewhat caught off guard. This is the same set up in regards to being caught off guard.

Hope this stays away but for now most models are pointing to us in SELA and MS. Please stay safe.

CharityMike · 08-26-2012, 12:53 AM

*Bump*

The Dude · 08-26-2012, 01:26 AM

Originally Posted by CharityMike

I know this isn't the place for this but I feel the need to let my B&G brothers and sisters that may not know what is going on right now. If you have been watching the news lately and are waiting for them to tell you to do something, DON'T.

The news will ONLY go by what the NHC says. If you watch the weather channel and pay close attention and read between the lines, they have been hinting at a model shift all day.

The 0z GFS model run just finished up. It does not look good for us is SELA. Make your plans now!! As soon as this news is broad casted, it's going to be chaos.

A GREAT site I go to is gulfcoastwx.com. A lot of pro mets and meteorology students on this site. Constant model runs you will not hear about on the local news.

I am sorry if I am alarming anyone. I went through Katrina and we were somewhat caught off guard. This is the same set up in regards to being caught off guard.

Hope this stays away but for now most models are pointing to us in SELA and MS. Please stay safe.

The national news just wants to put it all over the place so a bigger viewing area will stay tuned in. Also more people will run out and buy gas and milk.

CharityMike · 08-26-2012, 01:28 AM

I am not sure I follow what your getting at? Please explain.

Halo · 08-26-2012, 02:14 AM

Local news here in New Orleans are saying the NWS will not know the direction this thing is heading until late tomorrow.

Some of these noodle models shifted toward the west but the National Weather Service did not change their models. Means it could be just predictions at the moment data was extracted from the noodle models.

Local meteorologist are not predicting it will come here, rather fall between Alabama/Florida line. I trust the local meteorologists more than the national services.

TheOak · 08-26-2012, 06:36 AM

All weathermen are Goodell.

TheOak · 08-26-2012, 06:37 AM

Tropical Storm Isaac : Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts | Weather Underground

saintsfan1976 · 08-26-2012, 09:00 AM

I'm sorry, nut how were you caught off guard by Katrina?

mutineer10 · 08-26-2012, 09:44 AM

Yeah, the NHC is basically saying Isaac will make landfall somewhere between Mexico and Florida, LOL! I shoulda been a weatherman!

CharityMike · 08-26-2012, 10:03 AM

Originally Posted by saintsfan1976

I'm sorry, nut how were you caught off guard by Katrina?

In the sense they said the same stuff they are saying now. It was never suppose to come here according to the NHC. Fla all the way. How did that work out?

The last 4 GFS runs all have it coming here. Nogaps, Hwrf coming here. The only major model to not have it coming here YET is the Euro. BUT that is the main model they are banking on. They moved the cone this morning because the Euro is trending west.

The funny thing about that is 3 days ago when the Euro was saying SW LA and ALL the other models were pointing to Fla. it was cast off as the outlier and had no implications in the NHC track. Now that it is the lone outlier saying east, the NHC is putting all the weight with it?

Take this for what you want. I was just trying to sound the word of caution because local mets are NOT allowed to do there own thing. They have to report what the NHC says.

08-26-2012, 12:23 AM	#1
CharityMike Site Donor 2018 Join Date: Oct 2011 Location: Mid City, New Orleans Posts: 3,556	SEVERE WEATHER ALERT --- ISAAC HEADS UP I know this isn't the place for this but I feel the need to let my B&G brothers and sisters that may not know what is going on right now. If you have been watching the news lately and are waiting for them to tell you to do something, DON'T. The news will ONLY go by what the NHC says. If you watch the weather channel and pay close attention and read between the lines, they have been hinting at a model shift all day. The 0z GFS model run just finished up. It does not look good for us is SELA. Make your plans now!! As soon as this news is broad casted, it's going to be chaos. A GREAT site I go to is gulfcoastwx.com. A lot of pro mets and meteorology students on this site. Constant model runs you will not hear about on the local news. I am sorry if I am alarming anyone. I went through Katrina and we were somewhat caught off guard. This is the same set up in regards to being caught off guard. Hope this stays away but for now most models are pointing to us in SELA and MS. Please stay safe. papz and kcsaints like this.
	Last edited by SmashMouth; 08-26-2012 at 11:16 AM..

08-26-2012, 12:53 AM	#2
CharityMike Site Donor 2018 Join Date: Oct 2011 Location: Mid City, New Orleans Posts: 3,556	Re: Issac heads up Bump

08-26-2012, 01:26 AM	#3
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,050	Re: Issac heads up Originally Posted by CharityMike I know this isn't the place for this but I feel the need to let my B&G brothers and sisters that may not know what is going on right now. If you have been watching the news lately and are waiting for them to tell you to do something, DON'T. The news will ONLY go by what the NHC says. If you watch the weather channel and pay close attention and read between the lines, they have been hinting at a model shift all day. The 0z GFS model run just finished up. It does not look good for us is SELA. Make your plans now!! As soon as this news is broad casted, it's going to be chaos. A GREAT site I go to is gulfcoastwx.com. A lot of pro mets and meteorology students on this site. Constant model runs you will not hear about on the local news. I am sorry if I am alarming anyone. I went through Katrina and we were somewhat caught off guard. This is the same set up in regards to being caught off guard. Hope this stays away but for now most models are pointing to us in SELA and MS. Please stay safe. The national news just wants to put it all over the place so a bigger viewing area will stay tuned in. Also more people will run out and buy gas and milk. Halo likes this.
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,050

08-26-2012, 01:28 AM	#4
CharityMike Site Donor 2018 Join Date: Oct 2011 Location: Mid City, New Orleans Posts: 3,556	Re: Issac heads up I am not sure I follow what your getting at? Please explain.

08-26-2012, 02:14 AM	#5
Halo Site Donor MONTHLY Join Date: May 2002 Location: New Orleans, LA Posts: 20,749 Blog Entries: 45	Re: Issac heads up Local news here in New Orleans are saying the NWS will not know the direction this thing is heading until late tomorrow. Some of these noodle models shifted toward the west but the National Weather Service did not change their models. Means it could be just predictions at the moment data was extracted from the noodle models. Local meteorologist are not predicting it will come here, rather fall between Alabama/Florida line. I trust the local meteorologists more than the national services.

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08-26-2012, 06:36 AM	#6
TheOak 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Dec 2009 Location: Cypress Tx. Posts: 19,027	Re: Issac heads up All weathermen are Goodell. saintfan likes this.

08-26-2012, 06:37 AM	#7
TheOak 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Dec 2009 Location: Cypress Tx. Posts: 19,027	Re: Issac heads up Tropical Storm Isaac : Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts \| Weather Underground jeanpierre likes this.

08-26-2012, 09:00 AM	#8
saintsfan1976 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 10,846 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Issac heads up I'm sorry, nut how were you caught off guard by Katrina?

08-26-2012, 09:44 AM	#9
mutineer10 Site Donor Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: Baton Rouge, LA Posts: 1,739	Re: Issac heads up Yeah, the NHC is basically saying Isaac will make landfall somewhere between Mexico and Florida, LOL! I shoulda been a weatherman!

08-26-2012, 10:03 AM	#10
CharityMike Site Donor 2018 Join Date: Oct 2011 Location: Mid City, New Orleans Posts: 3,556	Re: Issac heads up Originally Posted by saintsfan1976 I'm sorry, nut how were you caught off guard by Katrina? In the sense they said the same stuff they are saying now. It was never suppose to come here according to the NHC. Fla all the way. How did that work out? The last 4 GFS runs all have it coming here. Nogaps, Hwrf coming here. The only major model to not have it coming here YET is the Euro. BUT that is the main model they are banking on. They moved the cone this morning because the Euro is trending west. The funny thing about that is 3 days ago when the Euro was saying SW LA and ALL the other models were pointing to Fla. it was cast off as the outlier and had no implications in the NHC track. Now that it is the lone outlier saying east, the NHC is putting all the weight with it? Take this for what you want. I was just trying to sound the word of caution because local mets are NOT allowed to do there own thing. They have to report what the NHC says.

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Issac heads up	This thread	Refback	08-26-2012 12:44 AM	3