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Coin Toss???

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; It's a coaching problem. Mickey Looms and Sean Payton need to put their heads together and get on this right away before it's too late....

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Old 11-14-2011, 03:56 PM   #1
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It's a coaching problem. Mickey Looms and Sean Payton need to put their heads together and get on this right away before it's too late.
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Old 11-14-2011, 03:58 PM   #2
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I heard that stat yesterday and couldn't believe it either. I think they ought to try letting somebody besides Drew call it. He can still be QB but let's bench him from coin-toss duty, LOL, let Chase get some valuable 1st string experience at the coin-toss-calling position, LOL. Or maybe let Sproles try his hand, since he has sorta been the good luck charm for kickstarting the offense so far this year.
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Old 11-14-2011, 04:25 PM   #3
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Tails never fails...

But yeah I was also surprised when they said during the broadcast that the Saints were 0-10 on the coin toss, and then 0-11 after the OT coin toss.

I doubt that they keep stats about such things, but that got me started on wondering how long the biggest losing streak on the coin toss has been or whether the Saints are the unofficial record keepers at present time?

Statistically speaking, I guess the probability of going 0-10 is the same as going 10-0 or 5-5, because it is always the same on each individual toss (50%) - although, I have to confess that I'm not entirely sure about that one since statistics and probabilities aren't really my thing.

What would be even more interesting is if they always chose the same exact side on their turns and never chose right.

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Old 11-14-2011, 04:29 PM   #4
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We love the ball in the second half cause were usually up by then.
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Old 11-14-2011, 06:37 PM   #5
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Originally Posted by alleycat_126 View Post
We love the ball in the second half cause were usually up by then.
It's actually better this way ... getting the ball first after the halftime adjustments is probably more valuable.
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Old 11-14-2011, 06:39 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by neugey View Post
It's actually better this way ... getting the ball first after the halftime adjustments is probably more valuable.
Good point.
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Old 11-14-2011, 04:33 PM   #7
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Another curse we need to break...
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Old 11-14-2011, 06:02 PM   #8
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Saints Continue Winless Streak on Coin Flips - NYTimes.com
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Old 11-14-2011, 06:07 PM   #9
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To recap...

...they have now lost all 11 tosses this season. The odds of that are 1 in 2,048.

... the Saints’ current coin flip futility is even more rare than a perfect season.
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Old 11-17-2011, 09:24 AM   #10
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Originally Posted by Danno View Post
To recap...

...they have now lost all 11 tosses this season. The odds of that are 1 in 2,048.

... the Saints’ current coin flip futility is even more rare than a perfect season.
That's the dicey thing about coin toss statistics. The mathematical calculations give that string of results a 1:2048 probability, but the results of the previous 11 tosses have no effect on the next toss. So the chances of us losing the next coin toss are not 1:4096, they are 1:2.
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