TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1

saintfan · 02-24-2014, 08:45 PM

Originally Posted by Danno

A crap shoot implies that every selection from the 1st to the last has the exact same rate of success.

That just isn't so.

The odds favor 1st rounder over 2nd rounder, and 2nd over 3rd etc...

Therefore it is not a crap shoot.

You give me all 32 1st rounders and I'll give you all 32 7th rounders over the last 10 years. Who do you think will have the better team?

I think you're missing the spirit of what I'm implying. Maybe if I said it's a "gamble" we'd be on the same page? Would you agree with that? That it's a gamble? Maybe more like Black Jack than dice?

Either way the spirit of what I'm saying is that there's no way to know. Those that go in the first round go that high because of the things they measure and play on the field in a game that overwhelms most of them for a while.

What makes a player special is not the round he was drafted in. What makes a player special is heart. There's no way to measure heart. All the 40 yard dash times and wonderlic scores - in the end they don't prove a damn thing really...because if they did, all these people who get paid tons of money to filter out the bad ones would be out of a job.

02-24-2014, 08:45 PM	#1
saintfan Donated Plasma Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: San Francisco, CA Posts: 18,556 Blog Entries: 5	Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1 Originally Posted by Danno A crap shoot implies that every selection from the 1st to the last has the exact same rate of success. That just isn't so. The odds favor 1st rounder over 2nd rounder, and 2nd over 3rd etc... Therefore it is not a crap shoot. You give me all 32 1st rounders and I'll give you all 32 7th rounders over the last 10 years. Who do you think will have the better team? I think you're missing the spirit of what I'm implying. Maybe if I said it's a "gamble" we'd be on the same page? Would you agree with that? That it's a gamble? Maybe more like Black Jack than dice? Either way the spirit of what I'm saying is that there's no way to know. Those that go in the first round go that high because of the things they measure and play on the field in a game that overwhelms most of them for a while. What makes a player special is not the round he was drafted in. What makes a player special is heart. There's no way to measure heart. All the 40 yard dash times and wonderlic scores - in the end they don't prove a damn thing really...because if they did, all these people who get paid tons of money to filter out the bad ones would be out of a job.
	C'mon Man...

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