TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1

Danno · 02-24-2014, 08:38 PM

Originally Posted by saintfan

Oh it's a crap shoot alright, perhaps an educated one, but a crap shoot nonetheless. Just take the first round. ANY first round in history. If it were anything that resembled an exact science 1st round busts would be rare.

But they "bust" out every year. Year after year. I don't discount what you're saying. I get it. But in the end, there is no measurable that guarantees a player will be successful. There won't be one in our lifetime.

A crap shoot implies that every selection from the 1st to the last has the exact same rate of success.

That just isn't so.

The odds favor 1st rounder over 2nd rounder, and 2nd over 3rd etc...

Therefore it is not a crap shoot.

You give me all 32 1st rounders and I'll give you all 32 7th rounders over the last 10 years. Who do you think will have the better team?

02-24-2014, 08:38 PM	#8
Danno Truth Addict Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: Spanish Fort, AL (via NO and B/R) Posts: 24,758	Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1 Originally Posted by saintfan Oh it's a crap shoot alright, perhaps an educated one, but a crap shoot nonetheless. Just take the first round. ANY first round in history. If it were anything that resembled an exact science 1st round busts would be rare. But they "bust" out every year. Year after year. I don't discount what you're saying. I get it. But in the end, there is no measurable that guarantees a player will be successful. There won't be one in our lifetime. A crap shoot implies that every selection from the 1st to the last has the exact same rate of success. That just isn't so. The odds favor 1st rounder over 2nd rounder, and 2nd over 3rd etc... Therefore it is not a crap shoot. You give me all 32 1st rounders and I'll give you all 32 7th rounders over the last 10 years. Who do you think will have the better team?

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