Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina

saintfan · 01-01-2018, 05:47 PM

Originally Posted by Danno

I think its just logical.

Probably 3/4 of the NFL teams are good enough to beat you on any given day, so beating a "decent" NFL team 3 times in the same year is like winning a coin toss 3 times in a row.

I'm going to remind you of this the next time I say the draft is a crap shoot.

I agree though. But there are things you can do to tip the odds in your favor. Or you can flip them in the other direction, like with ill-timed otherwise unnecessary fake FGs.

Utah_Saint · 01-01-2018, 07:22 PM

Originally Posted by Danno

I think its just logical.

Probably 3/4 of the NFL teams are good enough to beat you on any given day, so beating a "decent" NFL team 3 times in the same year is like winning a coin toss 3 times in a row.

After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50.

SaintFanInATLHELL · 01-03-2018, 09:03 AM

Originally Posted by Utah_Saint

After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50.

True. But all that shows is that the outcome of a single event is different than the total outcome of all the events. Three heads in a row has a 12.5% chance even though each individual toss is a 50% chance.

But that presumes that all things are equal. And when it comes to the Kitties, all things are not equal:

1. The Saints have the better running game.
2. The Saints have the better receivers.
3. The Saints have the better QB in terms of accuracy, game management, and honestly overall common sense.
4. The Saints have the better secondary.
5. The Saints have the better offensive line.

So the first two games were unequal. This one will be too. Add to that the fact that the Dome will be rocking, I fully expect to be marching right into the divisional round.

None of the coin toss math works when there isn't a 50/50 chance on each toss.

SFIAH

K Major · 01-03-2018, 08:40 AM

For the most part, the NFL is a week to week league.

Rugby Saint II · 01-03-2018, 02:41 PM

Beating a team three times in a row that is built to beat you is difficult. They also have a stout defense.

K Major · 01-03-2018, 02:49 PM

It's also difficult to beat a team one time when they are better than you

.

Cruize · 01-03-2018, 04:57 PM

They are amazing runners, and for all intensive purposes, fill the roles of the 2nd and 3rd WR's as well as the TE. So, let's just hope they both stay upright.

K Major · 01-05-2018, 08:24 AM

With the uncertainty of Armstead on Sunday ...

Addison/Peppers vs Peat/Ramz. Important match up for me.

Beastmode · 01-05-2018, 08:49 AM

Really concerned about Olsen just like I was about Theilen. I see them relying heavily on Olsen. Funchess can be locked down, Mctaffy can't run inside so he's very one dimensional on the outside. Cam can run but when that happens his passing gets more off target. Probably see some big runs from him early on then meltdowns when his throws get picked later on. That's how I see it going down.

01-01-2018, 05:47 PM	#1
saintfan Donated Plasma Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: San Francisco, CA Posts: 18,556 Blog Entries: 5	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by Danno I think its just logical. Probably 3/4 of the NFL teams are good enough to beat you on any given day, so beating a "decent" NFL team 3 times in the same year is like winning a coin toss 3 times in a row. I'm going to remind you of this the next time I say the draft is a crap shoot. I agree though. But there are things you can do to tip the odds in your favor. Or you can flip them in the other direction, like with ill-timed otherwise unnecessary fake FGs.

01-01-2018, 07:22 PM	#2
Utah_Saint Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Salt Lake City, Utah Posts: 3,521	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by Danno I think its just logical. Probably 3/4 of the NFL teams are good enough to beat you on any given day, so beating a "decent" NFL team 3 times in the same year is like winning a coin toss 3 times in a row. After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50. Rugby Saint II, 73Saint and pinch like this.

01-03-2018, 09:03 AM	#3
SaintFanInATLHELL The Professor Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Lithonia, GA Posts: 2,783	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by Utah_Saint After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50. True. But all that shows is that the outcome of a single event is different than the total outcome of all the events. Three heads in a row has a 12.5% chance even though each individual toss is a 50% chance. But that presumes that all things are equal. And when it comes to the Kitties, all things are not equal: 1. The Saints have the better running game. 2. The Saints have the better receivers. 3. The Saints have the better QB in terms of accuracy, game management, and honestly overall common sense. 4. The Saints have the better secondary. 5. The Saints have the better offensive line. So the first two games were unequal. This one will be too. Add to that the fact that the Dome will be rocking, I fully expect to be marching right into the divisional round. None of the coin toss math works when there isn't a 50/50 chance on each toss. SFIAH
	Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good.

01-03-2018, 08:40 AM	#4
K Major Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2013 Location: Bedford, TX Posts: 24,799 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina For the most part, the NFL is a week to week league.

01-03-2018, 02:41 PM	#5
Rugby Saint II Bounty Money $$$ Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: 5800 Airline Dr. Metairie, LA. Posts: 24,133	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Beating a team three times in a row that is built to beat you is difficult. They also have a stout defense.

01-03-2018, 02:49 PM	#6
K Major Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2013 Location: Bedford, TX Posts: 24,799 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina It's also difficult to beat a team one time when they are better than you . SaintFanInATLHELL likes this.

01-03-2018, 04:57 PM	#7
Cruize 1000 Posts + Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,459	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina They are amazing runners, and for all intensive purposes, fill the roles of the 2nd and 3rd WR's as well as the TE. So, let's just hope they both stay upright.
Cruize 1000 Posts + Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,459

01-05-2018, 08:24 AM	#8
K Major Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2013 Location: Bedford, TX Posts: 24,799 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina With the uncertainty of Armstead on Sunday ... Addison/Peppers vs Peat/Ramz. Important match up for me.

01-05-2018, 08:49 AM	#9
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Really concerned about Olsen just like I was about Theilen. I see them relying heavily on Olsen. Funchess can be locked down, Mctaffy can't run inside so he's very one dimensional on the outside. Cam can run but when that happens his passing gets more off target. Probably see some big runs from him early on then meltdowns when his throws get picked later on. That's how I see it going down.
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Switch to Linear Mode Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode