I think you have to consider the strength of schedule of these teams. 3 have the same record as us and 1 has one more loss. But 3 have much harder schedules than we do. And 2 have have beat us head to head already.

Our remaining Schedule, Chance to win:

Giants - 50% The Giants have only one less win than us but with a 3 game winning streak and a much harder schedule than us with losses to Dallas 2x, SF, and Mia. They are hot. Playing better teams makes them better. Their point differential is horrible, but that reflects the schedule. Their new QB is mobile, which spells trouble for us. Still, the point differential is bad and they are due for a let down. I call it a toss up.

Rams - 40% The Rams are healthier than they were earlier in the year. They have the same record as us with a much tougher schedule with losses to Bal, Dal, SF, and Phi.

Bucs - 35% We lost resoundingly to the Bucs. They have the same record as us but their 1st place schedule earned them dates with SF, PHI, and BUF where we faced LA, NY, and NE. We also lost to them twice last year. They seem to have DA's number.

ATL - 50% While we lost to Atlanta this year we beat them last year twice and the way we lost with 5 field goals was somewhat flukey. We have the same record with similar strength of schedule. This game is at home but that has not often made a big difference for us. I would call it a toss up.

So total I expect we win 1.75 games the rest of the way. So 2 is the most like, 1 is next most, 3 is third most, 0 is fourth most, 4 is 5th most likely, given the difference between 1.75 and those numbers.