BakoSaint |
08-26-2024 02:06 PM |
Re: Time To Move On At Tackle?
Quote:
Originally Posted by AsylumGuido
(Post 999856)
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May is a good choice of words. I hope he is able to turn it all around. He should make the roster and get some chance to show if he has improved in real regular season games but it might also be reasonable to bring in cheap competition in case he struggles.
Looking at both sides of the coin, Penning struggled last year, was then benched the latter half of the year and barely saw the field even with many starters injured, reports out of training camp had him getting dominated on many reps, he played very poorly the first preseason game, then improved in the latter two preseason games. His confidence may be up, but early in the season he will face tough experienced pass rushers looking to target his weaknesses and that confidence may go back down or prove to be an illusion. Its possible that everything just clicked in week 2 of year 3 preseason but its also possible that a few quarters of football over an 8 day period in preseason is a mirage and years of struggle is the reality, or that Penning is just inconsistent. Overall I think it could be reasonable to view the odds as something like that 1/3rd he is truly improved, 1/3rd he will be a mixed bag, and 1/3rd he will be a train wreck and a few quarters against backups in vanilla plays is a total mirage. A 1/3rd scenario that Penning will be so bad he will get Derek Carr so badly injured that Carr will be unable to pass a physical on 3/17/2025 and Carr's $30 million 2025 salary will become guaranteed even if the injury is career threatening is a scary scenario so I think its smart to have some backup plan desite 8 days of more encouraging preseason performance.
To illustrate the point that we have to take preseason stats of notoriously unreliable players with a grain of salt, I give you Nathan Peterman's 3rd year preseason stats. Peterman had a superb 2019 preseason with no INT's and looked like a QB who could potentially be starting caliber. In particular in the final two preseason games of his third year, Peterman was 17 for 20 with no turnovers and his team won both games. Peterman was then injured, never played a down in the 2019 regular season, and has since continued to be extremely unreliable in regular season games.
https://www.nfl.com/players/nathan-p...ats/logs/2019/
Overall, with Pennings improvement, I feel like our situation at RT has gone from barreling toward a sheer cliff to speeding into a blind intersection against a red light. Its gone from knowing Carr is going to get killed to crossing our fingers knowing he might get killed but maybe we get lucky.
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