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this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; We all need to take a deep breath, settle down and look at this loss rationally: We lost to an AFC team; virtually no tie-breaking implications I don't think we play a team as good defensively, (possible exception is Cardinals) ...
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#1 |
10000 POST CLUB
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Shreveport,Louisiana
Posts: 16,097
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Re: Disappointed, very
We all need to take a deep breath, settle down and look at this loss rationally:
We lost to an AFC team; virtually no tie-breaking implications I don't think we play a team as good defensively, (possible exception is Cardinals) the rest of the season. We are one game out of 2nd place; after we sweep out the litter box Thursday night we will be back at .500 and in second place. I don't remember any additional injuries that look like they will be long term. Was this game winnable; absolutely, but aren't all of them? |
"A Veteran is someone who, at one point in his life, wrote a blank check made payable to "The United States of America" for an amount of "up to and including my life."
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#2 |
Merces Letifer
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 4,161
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Re: Disappointed, very
Originally Posted by WhoDat!656
I'm with you here. I keep saying the real key games will be against the Panthers and Lions games if the Saints are to make it to a wild card spot. Unfortunately one of those key games is an away game on Thursday night.![]()
EDIT: I am almost with you here. The losses to the Broncos and Raiders do have tie breaker implications. Win-loss % against common opponents is the 3rd tie breaker. |
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#3 |
The Professor
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Lithonia, GA
Posts: 2,789
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Re: Disappointed, very
Originally Posted by WhoDat!656
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Originally Posted by Tobias-Reiper
Too early to discuss the wild card. Nothing has changed from last week where the Saints control their own destiny in terms of the division. There are only two teams at this moment we need to have any concerns about: The Saints and Atlanta. The Saints have two jobs in terms of playoffs:![]()
1. Win all division games. 2. Remain no more than 1 game back in the loss column in respect to Atlanta. Right this second the Saints only need to accomplish 1 thing to meet both goals: BEAT CAROLINA THURSDAY! When the Saints Win on Thursday, they have absolutely nothing to worry about for the next 10 days. Presuming the Saints can sweep Carolina, which will put them completely in the Saints rear view mirror, the Saints will be one game back in the overall loss column and even in the division loss column with the Falcons. I feel the need to be blunt. If the Saints down the stretch cannot do what it takes to win the South, then there really should not be any discussion of playoffs anyway because if the Saints cannot take care of Carolina, TB, and Atlanta, then nothing else matters. SFIAH |
Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO
Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good. |
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#4 |
Merces Letifer
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 4,161
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Re: Disappointed, very
Originally Posted by SaintFanInATLHELL
According to the tie breakers, your statement is correct, the Saints still control their own destiny in terms of the division. ![]()
However, it needs to be pointed out, the Saints control their own destiny only if the 4th tie breaker kicks in, win-loss percentage in conference games. That is the only controllable tie breaker in which the Saints currently hold and advantage, which I think it's kind of shaky, as the Clowns have yet to play the 49ers, which they get at home, and I think that's a gimme for Atlanta. After the 4th tie breaker, nothing is controllable by the Saints, as the later tie breakers are weighted against Atlanta's performance against other teams. Currently, Atlanta is 6-4 and the Saints are 4-5. Clowns are going into their bye week. For the sake of argument, let's say the Saints beat the Panthers this Thursday night, and Atlanta Jan 1st. We also must assume the Saints will sweep the Bucs, otherwise the whole thing may end up in a 3-way tie, which is another story. Anyway, should the Saints beat the Panthers and Atlanta, that would put the overall record at a tie, and take care of the first tie breaker, head to head, but since that wouldn't break the tie: Win-loss % within division: Clowns are 3-1, Saints are 1-1. Unless the Clowns lose one more game than the Saints against a division opponent, at best the records match @ .833, which is controllable, but doesn't break the tie. Win loss % in common games: Atlanta is 2-2, Saints are 3-3. Unless the Clowns lose one more game against common opponents, at best the records match @ .500, which is controllable, but doesn't doesn't break the tie. Win-loss % in conference: Atlanta is 4-3, Saints are 3-2. This is the only controllable tie breaker the Saints have an advantage on, but like I said, the Clowns still have a game at home against the 49ers, which I think is a gimme for the Clowns. So, yes, one can still say the Saints control their destiny in terms of the division, but that's going to require some serious controlling from here on out. |
'Cause the simple man pays the thrills, the bills and the pills that kill
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#5 |
The Professor
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Lithonia, GA
Posts: 2,789
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Re: Disappointed, very
Originally Posted by Tobias-Reiper
I accept your challenge to analyze these tiebreakers.![]()
1. The Saints go 4-0 down the stretch in the division. 2. No NFC South team finishes with an overall higher record. All bets are off if neither of these hold true.
SFIAH |
Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO
Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good. |
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#6 |
Merces Letifer
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 4,161
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Re: Disappointed, very
After reading your response and re-reading my post, I see I made a mistake.
If we assume the Saints beat the Panthers tomorrow and the Clowns in January, the Saints and Clowns records will be equal on the head to head, but not for division losses, as losing to the Saints would mean a division loss for the Clowns. I did not count that as a division loss... duh!!! So my bad. You win ![]() |
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#7 |
1000 Posts +
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Re: Disappointed, very
Originally Posted by WhoDat!656
I know you're trying to give it a positive spin, but every year one person or another makes the comment that when we lose to an AFC team, there are no tie breaker implications. That is technically true, but it still counts exactly the same in the standings. If it were college, and we had lost a non conference game, you can say "well we didn't lose any ground in the conference standings". But that's not how NFL standings work, as we know.![]()
We've now lost four very close games. You can't keep blowing opportunities to win games. That's my perspective. |
If I had a nickel for every time I heard that, the NFL would fine and suspend me.
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#8 |
The Professor
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Lithonia, GA
Posts: 2,789
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Re: Disappointed, very
Originally Posted by WhoDat!656
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Originally Posted by burningmetal
It doesn't count the same in the standings. It's way down the list in terms of tiebreakers within the division and conference after the 1st tiebreaker of overall record.![]()
But the bottom line is that even with the losses, the Saints are as well positioned as anyone else in the division. My perspective is that if the Saints cannot win their 4 remaining division games at the very minimum, then there is no point in discussing the playoffs, close losses or not. SFIAH |
Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO
Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good. |
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