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My thought on the 2018 draft

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Originally Posted by jeanpierre Appreciate of some y'all's optimism, really I do and I don't engage to make light of it - have too much respect for y'all - my post history will show that... But this "no second guessing" ...

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Old 04-29-2018, 12:27 PM   #1
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

Originally Posted by jeanpierre View Post
Appreciate of some y'all's optimism, really I do and I don't engage to make light of it - have too much respect for y'all - my post history will show that...

But this "no second guessing" and "in Loomis we trust" is naive to not question the FO moves; only local media defends the haul with 'wait and see" as a defense...

Let's not forget Payton and Loomis had one great draft, one, in their tenure; and no, don't give them credit for 2006 where all 32 teams passed on Colston and Strief...

And I'd remind Loomis was GM when we traded two first round picks passing on eight All-Pro players for Johnathan Sullivan; also on Stanley Jean Baptiste...

And we still can't get a member of the press on a story explaining how Stephone Anthony went from being nearly DROTY to incapable of playing football...

Again, have always appreciated some of your optimism, loyalty is rare these days and is to be cherished; but this is a dumpster fire of a draft haul...

Only two picks came in where they should have - S Natrell Jamerson and C/G Will Clapp; taking two maybe three players, ikely UDFAs, with draft picks...

Again, love the blind loyalty, but this draft needs to be questioned because we should be putting the final pieces in place for a run this year...
My angle is and has always been that the draft is a crapshoot. Of ALL the players drafted in a given year, how many are still in the league 3 years later?

Did the Saints take some risks this year? You bet. They were educated risks to be sure, and the guys taking the risks are FAR more educated about the risks they're taking than you or I - although you are clearly more up to speed about the draft than me, the difference between you and the Saints FO is still significant.

I don't think it was "Ditka" draft as some have said, nor do I believe it was a dumpster fire. Far from it, and I think people are undervaluing our ability to coach this talent up, which is surprising considering how we all revere the quality of coaching on or team. It's not about blind faith. I don't have that. Like I said, I think it's a crapshoot.

We took some risks. We didn't "play it safe". Safe isn't always the best play.
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C'mon Man...
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Old 04-29-2018, 12:46 PM   #2
 
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

Originally Posted by saintfan View Post
My angle is and has always been that the draft is a crapshoot. Of ALL the players drafted in a given year, how many are still in the league 3 years later?

Did the Saints take some risks this year? You bet. They were educated risks to be sure, and the guys taking the risks are FAR more educated about the risks they're taking than you or I - although you are clearly more up to speed about the draft than me, the difference between you and the Saints FO is still significant.

I don't think it was "Ditka" draft as some have said, nor do I believe it was a dumpster fire. Far from it, and I think people are undervaluing our ability to coach this talent up, which is surprising considering how we all revere the quality of coaching on or team. It's not about blind faith. I don't have that. Like I said, I think it's a crapshoot.

We took some risks. We didn't "play it safe". Safe isn't always the best play.

Other than a couple of picks, we drafted for depth and down the line future starters. Still say we need to get an UDFA QB... maybe that kid from the Ivy League, Princeton's Chad Kanoff.
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Old 04-29-2018, 03:01 PM   #3
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

Originally Posted by jeanpierre View Post

...Again, love the blind loyalty, but this draft needs to be questioned because we should be putting the final pieces in place for a run this year...
Of course the draft needs to be questioned but to try to judge it before the picks have even put on pads is silly. The Saints front office must think these players have a good chance of being coached up to their potential. As of now, how can anyone say they're wrong? I recognize that it's offseason and there's not much to do other than debate potential but it's purely wasted time until the players take the field and we see how they shake out.

I suspect the coaches and scouts have spent more time analyzing each of these players and how they would fit into the Saints plans than any so called "draft expert" and far more than any of us here on the board. That's not blind loyalty, that's just common sense.

Some examples of last years "draft experts" wisdom...

“A big question mark here was the value given up to draft Kamara. Even if you question any possibilities beyond 2017 for Mark Ingram or Adrian Peterson, trading a second-rounder to move up and take my No. 88 overall player is iffy." - Mel Kiper, ESPN

Ryan Ramczyk "I don't get this pick. Where does he play..." C+ , Pete Prisco, CBSNFL

This one makes no sense at all. If the Saints already have an elite multipurpose back in Mark Ingram Jr. and signed an aging up-the-middle bruiser in Adrian Peterson, then why on Earth did the Saints trade up to draft Tennessee Volunteers running back Alvin Kamara near the top of the third round? Kamara is a good player, but can’t handle a bell-cow workload. New Orleans is a terrible landing spot for him." - John Buhler, NFL Fansided

""We saw a little bit of a safety run in the middle of the second round. New Orleans was right in the mix of that nonsense and overdraft Utah Utes safety Marcus Williams." - John Buhler NFL Fansided

"Ryan Ramczyk C+" Larry Holder, NOLA Times Picayune

I don't mean to say the front office shouldn't be held accountable. Two first rounders for one player needs to be held to a very high standard. In my opinion, to justify the picks, Davenport needs to beat out Okafor and start game 1. And by the end of the season he needs to be, at least, a serious probowl contender. The point I'm trying to make is that until they take the field, judging the draft at this point, positive or negative, is waste of time.
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Old 04-29-2018, 04:21 PM   #4
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

Originally Posted by Utah_Saint View Post
Of course the draft needs to be questioned but to try to judge it before the picks have even put on pads is silly. The Saints front office must think these players have a good chance of being coached up to their potential. As of now, how can anyone say they're wrong? I recognize that it's offseason and there's not much to do other than debate potential but it's purely wasted time until the players take the field and we see how they shake out.

I suspect the coaches and scouts have spent more time analyzing each of these players and how they would fit into the Saints plans than any so called "draft expert" and far more than any of us here on the board. That's not blind loyalty, that's just common sense.

Some examples of last years "draft experts" wisdom...

“A big question mark here was the value given up to draft Kamara. Even if you question any possibilities beyond 2017 for Mark Ingram or Adrian Peterson, trading a second-rounder to move up and take my No. 88 overall player is iffy." - Mel Kiper, ESPN

Ryan Ramczyk "I don't get this pick. Where does he play..." C+ , Pete Prisco, CBSNFL

This one makes no sense at all. If the Saints already have an elite multipurpose back in Mark Ingram Jr. and signed an aging up-the-middle bruiser in Adrian Peterson, then why on Earth did the Saints trade up to draft Tennessee Volunteers running back Alvin Kamara near the top of the third round? Kamara is a good player, but can’t handle a bell-cow workload. New Orleans is a terrible landing spot for him." - John Buhler, NFL Fansided

""We saw a little bit of a safety run in the middle of the second round. New Orleans was right in the mix of that nonsense and overdraft Utah Utes safety Marcus Williams." - John Buhler NFL Fansided

"Ryan Ramczyk C+" Larry Holder, NOLA Times Picayune

I don't mean to say the front office shouldn't be held accountable. Two first rounders for one player needs to be held to a very high standard. In my opinion, to justify the picks, Davenport needs to beat out Okafor and start game 1. And by the end of the season he needs to be, at least, a serious probowl contender. The point I'm trying to make is that until they take the field, judging the draft at this point, positive or negative, is waste of time.
Man..if I could, I would like this post a million times! Perfect examples of "experts" not knowing sheet. They think they know, but they really don't. How many came back after last yr saying, "I was dead wrong"? None..nadda.
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Old 04-29-2018, 11:21 AM   #5
 
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

According to Nathan Forster of ESPN and Football Outsiders, Davenport is projected to have 25.9 sacks through his first five seasons which makes it the most for any other edge rusher. The projected stats are done by SackSEER who precited success for edge rushers such as Von Miller and Kalil Mack. Here's what Forster had to say about Davenport. SackSEER's numbers give Davenport just the slightest edge over the more highly touted Chubb. As Clay Matthews and his 4.5 career college sacks can tell you, success at the edge rusher position can often be more about potential than production. Davenport shows statistical signs that he could be ready to similarly blossom in the NFL.
Marcus Davenport projected to be most productive pass rusher
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Old 04-29-2018, 12:34 PM   #6
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

My Camp beast ... Tre'Quan Smith. His production is all over the place.

We all know Mike Thomas is approaching elite status, Cam Meredith has tons of potential. Ted Ginn is getting up in age ... this pick makes too much sense ... especially for the future.

Can't wait for training camp.
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Old 04-29-2018, 12:51 PM   #7
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

I give the draft a B- or a C. The Saints needed a TE. What did they leave the draft without? A TE. Davenport may work out, but they still gave a little too much for him. And why draft a RB when you're set at that position?
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Old 04-29-2018, 01:05 PM   #8
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

Originally Posted by llaguardia81 View Post
I give the draft a B- or a C. The Saints needed a TE. What did they leave the draft without? A TE. Davenport may work out, but they still gave a little too much for him. And why draft a RB when you're set at that position?
First of all, why would you draft a TE just for the hell of it if you feel they don't fit your program. Most of the quality TE's went prior to the Saints third rounder and at that point I am sure they valued Smith as a greater upside. We have Ben Watson now and Fleener still has tons of potential.

As for the running back, how are we set at that position? We have two legitimate starting backs on our roster and then a few special teams members at the position. If Boston Scott can beat out any of those existing RB's, which I fully expect that he will, it improves the quality of the team. And if he is able to become the #3 RB, which I feel he has the ability to do, it will give us that insurance that we need at such a vital position.
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Old 04-29-2018, 04:54 PM   #9
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

Originally Posted by llaguardia81 View Post
I give the draft a B- or a C. The Saints needed a TE. What did they leave the draft without? A TE. Davenport may work out, but they still gave a little too much for him. And why draft a RB when you're set at that position?
You never have a perfect team. You’ll always have a weak spot. It’s all about depth. We need depth. Injuries happen and strong positions become weak. Growth happens and weak positions become strong.
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Old 04-29-2018, 04:57 PM   #10
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Re: My thought on the 2018 draft

Originally Posted by rezburna View Post
You never have a perfect team. You’ll always have a weak spot. It’s all about depth. We need depth. Injuries happen and strong positions become weak. Growth happens and weak positions become strong.
I wish there was a love option. You nailed it, my friend.
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