And so it begins...

Beastmode · 08-13-2019, 03:24 PM

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido

One more thing, Beast ... what is the source for your data chart? What time period does it cover? Is it based upon all RB's, starting RB's, RB's that share carries via committee? Murray has been in a committee based offense his entire career. FAR less wear and tear. I have worked with data and numbers for decades and know how misleading data can be if not observed in the proper context.

I'm a project manager. All I do is work with data, risks and probability. Has nothing to do with anything though because if you do a basic search for the performance of RB's by age, it will bring up 50 sites stating the same thing; Once they hit 29 plus their performance drops off a cliff, not some gradual slope. Some have bunked that but it's almost nobody. The probability of him making it the whole season and killing it is almost zero. It's maybe 3-4% that happens but go ahead and believe what you want.

You are betting on the 5th horse in the 6th race. There is a song about it called Chips Ahoy.

08-13-2019, 03:24 PM	#11
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126	Re: And so it begins... Originally Posted by AsylumGuido One more thing, Beast ... what is the source for your data chart? What time period does it cover? Is it based upon all RB's, starting RB's, RB's that share carries via committee? Murray has been in a committee based offense his entire career. FAR less wear and tear. I have worked with data and numbers for decades and know how misleading data can be if not observed in the proper context. I'm a project manager. All I do is work with data, risks and probability. Has nothing to do with anything though because if you do a basic search for the performance of RB's by age, it will bring up 50 sites stating the same thing; Once they hit 29 plus their performance drops off a cliff, not some gradual slope. Some have bunked that but it's almost nobody. The probability of him making it the whole season and killing it is almost zero. It's maybe 3-4% that happens but go ahead and believe what you want. You are betting on the 5th horse in the 6th race. There is a song about it called Chips Ahoy.
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126

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