Register All Albums FAQ Community Experience
Go Back   New Orleans Saints Forums - blackandgold.com > Main > Saints

2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Originally Posted by jeanpierre Debunked. In your mind, perhaps. Can you tell me honestly that you believe all players historically taken in the first round after the top 15 have just as high a probability of success as those taken ...

Like Tree933Likes

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-02-2021, 01:41 PM   #291
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Bossier City, LA
Posts: 26,274
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by jeanpierre View Post
Debunked.
In your mind, perhaps. Can you tell me honestly that you believe all players historically taken in the first round after the top 15 have just as high a probability of success as those taken in the top 15 slots?
AsylumGuido is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 01:58 PM   #292
Site Donor 2018
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Thibodaux
Posts: 43,543
Blog Entries: 39
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido View Post
In your mind, perhaps. Can you tell me honestly that you believe all players historically taken in the first round after the top 15 have just as high a probability of success as those taken in the top 15 slots?
Argument made, backed with cited proof, as I said - debunked...
jeanpierre is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 02:04 PM   #293
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Bossier City, LA
Posts: 26,274
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by jeanpierre View Post
Argument made, backed with cited proof, as I said - debunked...
What cited proof? Some isolated one off incidents? What is your supposed "cited proof"? Is it statistically sound?



Sorry, JP, but it sounds to me like you are the one imbibing in wacky weed.
AsylumGuido is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 02:17 PM   #294
5000 POSTS! +
 
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 5,137
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido View Post
I don't get where you are getting your numbers. Pick number 33 is a high 2nd rounder, no? I don't know where you came up with 38. and I don't know where you came up with 25. The two picks traded were the 27th and the 30th. There is very little difference between the 27th and 33rd. There is even less difference between the 30th and the 33rd. Therefore, there is very little difference between the two picks we traded and two high 2nd rounders just as I stated.

Once again, who cares what pick any player was picked with? Once the pick is made it becomes moot. It doesn't matter. Water under the bridge. Nothing constructive can come from complaining. Personally, I like what I have seen from Davenport when he has been on the field. Obviously the front office has, as well, or they wouldn't have picked up his fifth year option. Hopefully he'll have a healthy career from this point on and prove all of the haters wrong. There's no reason he can't follow, or surpass, the production of Cam Jordan which really didn't come to consistent fruition until his 7th season in the league. All I am asking for is patience. It appears that isn't possible for some, however.
I was just using random numbers as you were randomly saying high second round picks were given up. At the time the trade was made it was for the Saints current first round pick, which was known, and a future first round pick which was not. That pick could have ended up been anywhere from 1-32. If you want to use hindsight to say it was only for pick 30 to support your opinion I can use hindsight to say they should have knew Davenport would be injured to support mine.

As far as your comment about my “complaining“ about it, this is an example of you labeling people who disagree with you. Despite your indication I don’t hate the man and I am not complaining he is on the team. I think the price paid for his services has been too much and, as JP pointed out, that is not his fault. It’s a fan’s off-season opinion based upon evaluation of a certain draft pick the Saints made related to his performance and production. It’s no different than when I evaluate the move to spend a second round future pick for a third round pick to make the move to get Kamara as a good move. If I point out that was a good move am I an ass-kisser?
jeanpierre likes this.

You think you know, but you don’t know...and you never will! Coach Jim Mora
Boston Saint is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 02:33 PM   #295
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Bossier City, LA
Posts: 26,274
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by Boston Saint View Post
I was just using random numbers as you were randomly saying high second round picks were given up. At the time the trade was made it was for the Saints current first round pick, which was known, and a future first round pick which was not. That pick could have ended up been anywhere from 1-32. If you want to use hindsight to say it was only for pick 30 to support your opinion I can use hindsight to say they should have knew Davenport would be injured to support mine.

As far as your comment about my “complaining“ about it, this is an example of you labeling people who disagree with you. Despite your indication I don’t hate the man and I am not complaining he is on the team. I think the price paid for his services has been too much and, as JP pointed out, that is not his fault. It’s a fan’s off-season opinion based upon evaluation of a certain draft pick the Saints made related to his performance and production. It’s no different than when I evaluate the move to spend a second round future pick for a third round pick to make the move to get Kamara as a good move. If I point out that was a good move am I an ass-kisser?
First off, I didn't say YOU were complaining. If you go back and read what I wrote that was not directed at anyone in particular. I made it a point to word it in that manner. Your instances of referencing the two first round picks are rare. Now, if you mentioned it say, over and over again, ad nauseum, it may fall into the spectrum of complaining.



As for the future 1st rounder in the trade, that would have been an educated prediction by the front office. At the time we had arguably the best all round roster in the league. The chances of our finishing very far from the very top of the league were slim. I believe, in fact, that either Payton or Loomis alluded to their expecting that future pick to be at the tail end of the round in an interview after the trade was made. It turns out they were right. If they felt we would have been looking at a top 15 pick, for example, that next season I seriously doubt the trade would have been made in that form.

As for the price paid, patience as I mentioned earlier. We have only seen the first three of the contracted five years and have yet to see the remainder of the career after that. It is a tad early to be declaring the end value, don't you think?

“The pessimist sees difficulty in every opportunity. The optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” — Winston Churchill
AsylumGuido is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 02:52 PM   #296
5000 POSTS! +
 
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 5,137
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido View Post
First off, I didn't say YOU were complaining. If you go back and read what I wrote that was not directed at anyone in particular. I made it a point to word it in that manner. Your instances of referencing the two first round picks are rare. Now, if you mentioned it say, over and over again, ad nauseum, it may fall into the spectrum of complaining.



As for the future 1st rounder in the trade, that would have been an educated prediction by the front office. At the time we had arguably the best all round roster in the league. The chances of our finishing very far from the very top of the league were slim. I believe, in fact, that either Payton or Loomis alluded to their expecting that future pick to be at the tail end of the round in an interview after the trade was made. It turns out they were right. If they felt we would have been looking at a top 15 pick, for example, that next season I seriously doubt the trade would have been made in that form.

As for the price paid, patience as I mentioned earlier. We have only seen the first three of the contracted five years and have yet to see the remainder of the career after that. It is a tad early to be declaring the end value, don't you think?
Well, in a reply/quote to me you ask what good comes from complaining. That’s pretty close I’d say. And nowhere to my knowledge did I say give up on him. I don’t think I’ve ever mentioned that extending his fifth year option was a mistake. I am pointing out that, thus far in his playing career, his numbers have not been worth 2 picks above 33 and I don’t think passing it off on injuries is accurate. His production has been no better than say Tre’quan Smith’s has been on offense. I wouldn’t say Smith has lived up to two picks in the high 20s either.
jeanpierre likes this.

You think you know, but you don’t know...and you never will! Coach Jim Mora
Boston Saint is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 03:02 PM   #297
Site Donor 2018
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Thibodaux
Posts: 43,543
Blog Entries: 39
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido View Post
What cited proof? Some isolated one off incidents? What is your supposed "cited proof"? Is it statistically sound?



Sorry, JP, but it sounds to me like you are the one imbibing in wacky weed.
Seek medical help for Alzheimer's; it's been argued ad nauseam, even in last two weeks; can't keep breaking it down when you refused to admit you're wrong...
jeanpierre is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 03:07 PM   #298
Site Donor 2018
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Thibodaux
Posts: 43,543
Blog Entries: 39
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

jeanpierre is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 03:13 PM   #299
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Bossier City, LA
Posts: 26,274
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Originally Posted by jeanpierre View Post
Seek medical help for Alzheimer's; it's been argumed ad nauseam, even in last two weeks; can't keep breaking it down when you refused to admit you're wrong...
But, I'm not wrong. I repeatedly stated that higher picks have statistically proven out to have a higher rate of success than those picks taken lower in the draft. You just claimed to have cited something previously that debunks that. I must have missed it. Could you please share that definitive proof again?

Where have you shown that picks cumulatively taken lower in the draft demonstrate a probability of success that equals or exceeds picks taken in higher slots? I've searched but cannot find any reference.

AsylumGuido is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2021, 03:57 PM   #300
Site Donor 2018
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Thibodaux
Posts: 43,543
Blog Entries: 39
Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook

Nope. It was debunked. Methodically.
jeanpierre is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules

LinkBacks (?)
LinkBack to this Thread: https://blackandgold.com/saints/100275-2021-new-orleans-saints-roster-outlook.html
Posted By For Type Date Hits
Untitled document This thread Refback 12-10-2022 08:58 PM 22


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:38 PM.


Copyright 1997 - 2020 - BlackandGold.com
no new posts