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this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Originally Posted by jeanpierre Debunked. In your mind, perhaps. Can you tell me honestly that you believe all players historically taken in the first round after the top 15 have just as high a probability of success as those taken ...
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06-02-2021, 01:41 PM | #291 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
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06-02-2021, 01:58 PM | #292 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
Argument made, backed with cited proof, as I said - debunked...
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06-02-2021, 02:04 PM | #293 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
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06-02-2021, 02:17 PM | #294 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
Originally Posted by AsylumGuido
I was just using random numbers as you were randomly saying high second round picks were given up. At the time the trade was made it was for the Saints current first round pick, which was known, and a future first round pick which was not. That pick could have ended up been anywhere from 1-32. If you want to use hindsight to say it was only for pick 30 to support your opinion I can use hindsight to say they should have knew Davenport would be injured to support mine.
As far as your comment about my “complaining“ about it, this is an example of you labeling people who disagree with you. Despite your indication I don’t hate the man and I am not complaining he is on the team. I think the price paid for his services has been too much and, as JP pointed out, that is not his fault. It’s a fan’s off-season opinion based upon evaluation of a certain draft pick the Saints made related to his performance and production. It’s no different than when I evaluate the move to spend a second round future pick for a third round pick to make the move to get Kamara as a good move. If I point out that was a good move am I an ass-kisser? |
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06-02-2021, 02:33 PM | #295 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
Originally Posted by Boston Saint
First off, I didn't say YOU were complaining. If you go back and read what I wrote that was not directed at anyone in particular. I made it a point to word it in that manner. Your instances of referencing the two first round picks are rare. Now, if you mentioned it say, over and over again, ad nauseum, it may fall into the spectrum of complaining.
As for the future 1st rounder in the trade, that would have been an educated prediction by the front office. At the time we had arguably the best all round roster in the league. The chances of our finishing very far from the very top of the league were slim. I believe, in fact, that either Payton or Loomis alluded to their expecting that future pick to be at the tail end of the round in an interview after the trade was made. It turns out they were right. If they felt we would have been looking at a top 15 pick, for example, that next season I seriously doubt the trade would have been made in that form. As for the price paid, patience as I mentioned earlier. We have only seen the first three of the contracted five years and have yet to see the remainder of the career after that. It is a tad early to be declaring the end value, don't you think? |
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06-02-2021, 02:52 PM | #296 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
Originally Posted by AsylumGuido
Well, in a reply/quote to me you ask what good comes from complaining. That’s pretty close I’d say. And nowhere to my knowledge did I say give up on him. I don’t think I’ve ever mentioned that extending his fifth year option was a mistake. I am pointing out that, thus far in his playing career, his numbers have not been worth 2 picks above 33 and I don’t think passing it off on injuries is accurate. His production has been no better than say Tre’quan Smith’s has been on offense. I wouldn’t say Smith has lived up to two picks in the high 20s either.
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06-02-2021, 03:02 PM | #297 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
Seek medical help for Alzheimer's; it's been argued ad nauseam, even in last two weeks; can't keep breaking it down when you refused to admit you're wrong...
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06-02-2021, 03:13 PM | #299 |
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Re: 2021 New Orleans Saints: Roster Outlook
Originally Posted by jeanpierre
But, I'm not wrong. I repeatedly stated that higher picks have statistically proven out to have a higher rate of success than those picks taken lower in the draft. You just claimed to have cited something previously that debunks that. I must have missed it. Could you please share that definitive proof again?
Where have you shown that picks cumulatively taken lower in the draft demonstrate a probability of success that equals or exceeds picks taken in higher slots? I've searched but cannot find any reference. |
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