another i cant hepp it thread

[JKool]

How come only AB gets the benefit of excuse after exucse after excuse, when like someone else pointed out, his has been the only position not to change in the last 5 years and we are still mediocre?

I don\'t know what excuses have to do with it, but this is idea that he is the only fixed thing making us mediocre is just a bad argument. Here is an example.

Imagine you have a team of five people, say A, B, C, D, and E. The team does poorly so the next year you replace E with F. The team does poorly so the next year you replace C with G. The team does poorly so the next year you replace B with H. The team does poorly so the next year you replace H with I. Now the only fixed element of the team is A, but how confident are you in saying that A is the reason the team did poorly? I\'m not very confident in that hypothesis. Think of all the possible combinations of conclusions you could draw. On a straight line probability, it is very unlikely that the conclusion A is the problem is true. In fact, it is just as likely that B, C, D, and H were the problem. Or B and H, or C, and H, and D. And so on and so on and so on.

[Edited on 17/2/2005 by JKool]