The Deep QB Draft

SmashMouth · 03-09-2021, 05:35 PM

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido

Here's a very good article from footballoutsiders.com that pertains to this subject.

NFL Draft: Round-by-Round QB Study (1994-2016)

It lays out in detail every QB drafted during that stretch of time and goes into their success, or lack thereof. It groups them by round and degree of success within that round. One thing that jumped out at me was the lack of success of QB's drafted in the third round or lower. Our very own Aaron Brooks was identified as "The Good" amongst other 4th rounders. I couldn't argue the fact looking at the others.

But also note the lack of success in the earlier rounds. There were 57 first rounders (272 QB's overall) drafted during that stretch. It's scary looking through the list. Only 16 made "The Good" list and it appears accurate to me.

Not sure about your analysis in this piece. Very few of the later rounders (4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th) made it to a hall of fame caliber QB. TB is obviously the lone exception.

It'd be interesting to see with data that went much further back. I'd be willing to wager that your points would be more valid as a result.

03-09-2021, 05:35 PM	#9
SmashMouth I donated, did you? Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Mandeville, LA Posts: 38,796 Blog Entries: 29	Re: The Deep QB Draft Originally Posted by AsylumGuido Here's a very good article from footballoutsiders.com that pertains to this subject. NFL Draft: Round-by-Round QB Study (1994-2016) It lays out in detail every QB drafted during that stretch of time and goes into their success, or lack thereof. It groups them by round and degree of success within that round. One thing that jumped out at me was the lack of success of QB's drafted in the third round or lower. Our very own Aaron Brooks was identified as "The Good" amongst other 4th rounders. I couldn't argue the fact looking at the others. But also note the lack of success in the earlier rounds. There were 57 first rounders (272 QB's overall) drafted during that stretch. It's scary looking through the list. Only 16 made "The Good" list and it appears accurate to me. Not sure about your analysis in this piece. Very few of the later rounders (4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th) made it to a hall of fame caliber QB. TB is obviously the lone exception. It'd be interesting to see with data that went much further back. I'd be willing to wager that your points would be more valid as a result. K Major likes this.