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Precedents for the Legend of Klint Kubiak

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Originally Posted by BakoSaint I am wondering if anyone can come with a good precedent for what many fans are expecting Klint Kubiak to become. Essentially the rosie fan argument is 'Yes, DA has been a mediocre head coach for ...

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Old 06-04-2024, 09:51 AM   #1
 
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Re: Precedents for the Legend of Klint Kubiak

Originally Posted by BakoSaint View Post
I am wondering if anyone can come with a good precedent for what many fans are expecting Klint Kubiak to become. Essentially the rosie fan argument is 'Yes, DA has been a mediocre head coach for 5 years. Derek Carr is under appreciated and will surprise people but doesn't need to be Patrick Mahomes. Because all the Saints were missing is Klint Kubiak, the most brilliant young offensive mind in the NFL, who will revitalize the Saints as offensive coordinator, make us Super Bowl contenders, bring multiple rings, and perhaps take over as head coach, or become the crown of the Dennis Allen coaching tree as they duel in many future bowls if he leaves.'

I honestly think the jury is still out on Klint Kubiak. He could be the next Sean Payton, Kyle Shannahan, or heck maybe Bill Walsh, or he could be the next Nathaniel Hackett or Josh McDaniels, its hard to know. His resume is mixed bag.

But where I have trouble is finding the past precedent, the mold for what Kubiak is supposed to become according to the Rosies. I genuinely want to hear who you think Kubiak will become like, and how that will prove a long term answer for the Saints.

My problem is this: when I look at great NFL offensive coordinators who won championships and become great head coaches, I see no precedent for what Kubiak is supposed to bring. Kyle Shannahan was a good OC and seems to be a good HC but never won a ring either way. Bill Walsh did not have championship level success at the OC level before he became an HC. Neither did Sean Payton, who actually had a lot of ups and downs as an offensive coordinator. Neither did Mike McCarthy who made but a small difference when he was the Saints OC. Joe Gibbs was a highly respected OC, but again could not win until he became a head coach.

So who, in the entire history of the NFL, was the genius offensive coordinator who elevated a seemingly mediocre head coach and good but not great QB to a championship, and with his later work was able to show that he was the difference maker and create a genuine debate that he was as responsible as the head coach for bringing a ring, by winning one of his own later as a head coach.

Has any coach in NFL history won a Super Bowl as both OC and HC? I can actually find two examples, that actually connect together: Mike Shannahan and Gary Kubiak. The problem is that neither won their rings under QBs or head coaches who were considered mediocre before their arrival. Shannahan came to a team that already had a Super Bowl winning head coach in George Seifert, running an offense installed by Bill Walsh with Steve Young and Jerry Rice. Then Shannahan went to Denver as head coach where he eventually won a couple rings with John Elway, while Gary Kubiak was his OC to an offensive coach with fairly minimal credit. Gary Kubiak was mostly then average as a head coach, until he finally won a ring after bringing in Peyton Manning, and won mostly on the strength of defense with Von Miller. Neither won as an offensive coordinator without a great offensive coach above them and a great QB.

I guess my point is that I don't think any coach who has ever coached football in the history of the NFL could come to a team with a .500-ish or worse veteran coach and a .500-ish or worse veteran QB and be enough of a difference maker to turn everything around on the path to a championship. If you cloned the the brain of Bill Walsh 35 years ago, choreographed his life to give him every ideal exposure to modern NFL offenses, and then installed him as the 2024 Saints Offensive Coordinator under Dennis Allen working with Derek Carr, I think the best difference he could make would be about what difference Bill Walsh made with the Bengals with Paul Brown and Ken Anderson, or what a Shanahan or Gary Kubiak accomplished in their other OC gigs without a great head coach or QB. Essentially I think the offensive coordinator miracle amounts to: 'Yours hearts failing - but don't worry we found you a kidney.'

But please, give me an example? When in NFL history has a new OC made the difference to turn around a franchise, and been able to make up for a seemingly mediocre defensive minded head coach and struggling veteran QB who could not even win a playoff games before?
Without really checking, Klint's previous stop in Santa Clara? He wasn't OC there, of course. And why he was considered and hired here. We'll see how things go in the beginning.
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Old 06-04-2024, 09:59 AM   #2
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Re: Precedents for the Legend of Klint Kubiak

Originally Posted by SmashMouth View Post
Without really checking, Klint's previous stop in Santa Clara? He wasn't OC there, of course. And why he was considered and hired here. We'll see how things go in the beginning.
He was OC with the Vikings in 2021, however.
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Old 06-04-2024, 04:05 PM   #3
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Re: Precedents for the Legend of Klint Kubiak

Originally Posted by SmashMouth View Post
Without really checking, Klint's previous stop in Santa Clara? He wasn't OC there, of course. And why he was considered and hired here. We'll see how things go in the beginning.
So are you saying that Kubiak's 1 year tenure with the 49ers as an offensive assistant where they had a very similar overall season the season before he joined is a precedent for an offensive coordinator turning around an entire team previously believed to have a mediocre head coach, qb, and record and proving that a good offensive coordinator alone can be the difference between mediocrity and a championship?

In 2021 Kubiak was OC of the Vikings and they went from 7-9 with 430 points in 2020 to 8-9 with 425 points in 2021.

In 2022 Kubiak was an offensive assistant and sometimes play caller for the Broncos. The Broncos were 3-6 when Kubiak was handed play calling duties. They finished 5-12 compared to 7-10 the prior year.

In 2023 in San Francisco Kubiak was an offensive assistant. The 49ers went from 13-4 NFC Championship Runners Up in 2022 when their QB was hurt in the NFC Championship Game to 12-5 NFC Champions in 2023 when their QB wasn't hurt in the NFC Championship game, so not a dramatic improvement.

So, although Kubiak is supposed to be a miracle worker who will add many wins for us, in his last three stops he has added 1, -2, and -1 regular season wins.

I am not saying Kubiak can't be good. I am saying the jury is still out and even if he is a great OC, a great OC has never been able to do it alone.
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