Do you see a 2020 season happening?

blackangold · 04-08-2020, 11:04 AM

Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k).

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

ChrisXVI · 04-08-2020, 11:42 AM

JayFoster · 04-08-2020, 11:43 AM

You do understand that based on how we react to the virus deaths can go up or down, right. It depends on us.

JayFoster · 04-08-2020, 11:43 AM

Originally Posted by blackangold

Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k).

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us.

blackangold · 04-08-2020, 12:09 PM

Originally Posted by JayFoster

You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us.

What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right?

You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation?

Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

JayFoster · 04-08-2020, 02:03 PM

Originally Posted by blackangold

What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right?

You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation?

Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers.

It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat.

blackangold · 04-08-2020, 02:16 PM

Originally Posted by JayFoster

I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers.

It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat.

Yup

Would have been great to bet your life savings on the Saints to win the superbowl in 09, but we missed the boat...

hitta · 04-08-2020, 04:58 PM

Originally Posted by blackangold

What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right?

You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation?

Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

All of their numbers are only projected into July. They don't account for the virus spreading through the population after we leave isolation. Their model is a pipe dream.

hitta · 04-08-2020, 05:05 PM

Originally Posted by The Dude

I do not believe a word of anything that comes out of China. All experts agree that the numbers coming out of China are incorrect. I also question the legitimacy of the Examiner.

I'm not China's biggest fan, but do you really think they shut down for months, tried to get the cases down to zero, then just suddenly let everyone out even though they knew the numbers were wrong? That makes no sense.

hitta · 04-08-2020, 05:08 PM

The only way we are only having 90k deaths is if we stayed in lockdown for the next 12-15 months. That isn't going to happen.

04-08-2020, 11:04 AM	#51
blackangold 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 3,422	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k). https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america saintsfan1976 likes this.

04-08-2020, 11:42 AM	#52
ChrisXVI 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Aug 2011 Location: Madison, WI Posts: 11,482	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Twitter

04-08-2020, 11:43 AM	#53
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? You do understand that based on how we react to the virus deaths can go up or down, right. It depends on us. hitta likes this.
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122

04-08-2020, 11:43 AM	#54
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by blackangold Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k). https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us.
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122

04-08-2020, 12:09 PM	#55
blackangold 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 3,422	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by JayFoster You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us. What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right? You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation? Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

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04-08-2020, 02:03 PM	#56
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by blackangold What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right? You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation? Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though. I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers. It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat.
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122

04-08-2020, 02:16 PM	#57
blackangold 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 3,422	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by JayFoster I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers. It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat. Yup Would have been great to bet your life savings on the Saints to win the superbowl in 09, but we missed the boat...

04-08-2020, 04:58 PM	#58
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,324	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by blackangold What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right? You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation? Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though. All of their numbers are only projected into July. They don't account for the virus spreading through the population after we leave isolation. Their model is a pipe dream.
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,324

04-08-2020, 05:05 PM	#59
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,324	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by The Dude I do not believe a word of anything that comes out of China. All experts agree that the numbers coming out of China are incorrect. I also question the legitimacy of the Examiner. I'm not China's biggest fan, but do you really think they shut down for months, tried to get the cases down to zero, then just suddenly let everyone out even though they knew the numbers were wrong? That makes no sense.
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,324

04-08-2020, 05:08 PM	#60
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,324	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? The only way we are only having 90k deaths is if we stayed in lockdown for the next 12-15 months. That isn't going to happen.
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,324