Do you see a 2020 season happening?

blackangold · 04-08-2020, 10:04 AM

Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k).

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

JayFoster · 04-08-2020, 10:43 AM

You do understand that based on how we react to the virus deaths can go up or down, right. It depends on us.

JayFoster · 04-08-2020, 10:43 AM

Originally Posted by blackangold

Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k).

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us.

blackangold · 04-08-2020, 11:09 AM

Originally Posted by JayFoster

You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us.

What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right?

You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation?

Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

JayFoster · 04-08-2020, 01:03 PM

Originally Posted by blackangold

What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right?

You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation?

Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers.

It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat.

blackangold · 04-08-2020, 01:16 PM

Originally Posted by JayFoster

I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers.

It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat.

Yup

Would have been great to bet your life savings on the Saints to win the superbowl in 09, but we missed the boat...

hitta · 04-08-2020, 03:58 PM

Originally Posted by blackangold

What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right?

You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation?

Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

All of their numbers are only projected into July. They don't account for the virus spreading through the population after we leave isolation. Their model is a pipe dream.

blackangold · 04-08-2020, 06:21 PM

Originally Posted by hitta

All of their numbers are only projected into July. They don't account for the virus spreading through the population after we leave isolation. Their model is a pipe dream.

Cool story...

Again, if you have something of value to share like research papers by accredited people or properly backed government or institutional studies then please do.

I am certainly not going to care about some random person’s opinion on a Internet forum when it comes to things like this.

ChrisXVI · 04-08-2020, 10:42 AM

hitta · 04-08-2020, 04:08 PM

The only way we are only having 90k deaths is if we stayed in lockdown for the next 12-15 months. That isn't going to happen.

04-08-2020, 10:04 AM	#1
blackangold 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 3,422	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k). https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america saintsfan1976 likes this.

04-08-2020, 10:43 AM	#2
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? You do understand that based on how we react to the virus deaths can go up or down, right. It depends on us. hitta likes this.
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122

04-08-2020, 10:43 AM	#3
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by blackangold Oh look at that... projected deaths just dropped again. Now down to 60k projected deaths from 80k (in March it was close to 200k). https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us.
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122

04-08-2020, 11:09 AM	#4
blackangold 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 3,422	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by JayFoster You do understand that based on how we react to the virus, deaths can go up or down, right? It depends on us. What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right? You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation? Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though.

04-08-2020, 01:03 PM	#5
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by blackangold What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right? You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation? Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though. I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers. It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat.
JayFoster 100th Post Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 122

04-08-2020, 01:16 PM	#6
blackangold 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 3,422	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by JayFoster I know what the projection was. Again, how we react to this virus at this point is going to change the numbers. It would have been great to massively test and then isolate but we missed that boat. Yup Would have been great to bet your life savings on the Saints to win the superbowl in 09, but we missed the boat...

04-08-2020, 03:58 PM	#7
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,340	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by blackangold What I am posting are nationally leveraged models and projections, you understand that right? You understand that, in mid-March 200k was projected with mitigation? Guess that means we are doing a great job... I am a glass half-full type of guy though. All of their numbers are only projected into July. They don't account for the virus spreading through the population after we leave isolation. Their model is a pipe dream.
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,340

04-08-2020, 06:21 PM	#8
blackangold 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 3,422	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Originally Posted by hitta All of their numbers are only projected into July. They don't account for the virus spreading through the population after we leave isolation. Their model is a pipe dream. Cool story... Again, if you have something of value to share like research papers by accredited people or properly backed government or institutional studies then please do. I am certainly not going to care about some random person’s opinion on a Internet forum when it comes to things like this.

04-08-2020, 10:42 AM	#9
ChrisXVI 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Aug 2011 Location: Madison, WI Posts: 11,482	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? Twitter

04-08-2020, 04:08 PM	#10
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,340	Re: Do you see a 2020 season happening? The only way we are only having 90k deaths is if we stayed in lockdown for the next 12-15 months. That isn't going to happen.
hitta 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,340