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-   -   Featured Discussion Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion (https://blackandgold.com/saints/103550-official-2024-free-agency-discussion.html)

AsylumGuido 02-27-2024 05:06 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BakoSaint (Post 993634)
Restructuring contracts does cost more money. If you realize after 3 years that a 5 year $100 million contract is a mistake you might get out of it after paying $60 million over 3 years. But if you restructured it every year and had to face a $40 million dead cap hit if you moved on under year 3, you may be forced to restructure the contract for year 4 to delay the $20 million due, then face even larger dead cap leading into year 5 leading to another restructure. When the contact is set to end after Year 5, you may face a $50 million dead cap hit, and instead choose to pay a backup $15 million, a 'generous pay cut' of much more than his market value. So in the end you don't pay the same you pay $115 million instead of $60 million, and as a reward you potentially block upward mobility for your players, hold roster spots for veterans you are only keeping for financial reasons, and send the message to all your stars that their jobs are safe even if their production drops and to all your younger players that there is no room for them to start because some 30-somethings contract is too big to fail.

Dead cap is much higher, and the spare salary cap space to absorb dead cap hits is much lower, under Mickey Loomis's accounting.

https://blackandgold.com/u/4973-albu...icture1521.png

Sinner 02-27-2024 05:48 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido (Post 993635)

You actually go through the trouble to combat that which you claim to “IGNORE”, with memes… Are you like… 14 years old?

Mr.Riaton 02-27-2024 06:19 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sinner (Post 993636)
You actually go through the trouble to combat that which you claim to “IGNORE”, with memes… Are you like… 14 years old?

Pretty much my thoughts as well.
Amazingly enough, this jacka$$ has the audacity to claim other peoples behavior is why people are leaving the forum.

AsylumGuido 02-28-2024 09:22 AM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Might be a target here.



AsylumGuido 02-28-2024 09:33 AM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 

AsylumGuido 02-28-2024 12:49 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Sounds like we could have some good news on Ramczyk, and the o-line group. He had the surgery that he's been avoiding for the past few years and is on track to be ready for OTA's.


AsylumGuido 02-28-2024 12:53 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 

AsylumGuido 02-28-2024 02:18 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 

AsylumGuido 02-28-2024 05:05 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 

SmashMouth 02-28-2024 08:56 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 

lee909 02-28-2024 09:06 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido (Post 993650)

No thanks
A near 30 year old WR who has 3TDs and just over 1000 yards in 33 games with the best QB in the game over the past 5 or so years. 6 years into his career and 3100 yards and 16TDs. Just no, the epitome of basement no cap signing

K Major 02-28-2024 09:58 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
^^^^

And bad case of the “dropsies” + mental errors.

If you can’t catch passes from Mahomes, you sure as hell won’t improve
with Carr throwing to you.

Hard pass.

BakoSaint 02-28-2024 11:08 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by lee909 (Post 993683)
No thanks
A near 30 year old WR who has 3TDs and just over 1000 yards in 33 games with the best QB in the game over the past 5 or so years. 6 years into his career and 3100 yards and 16TDs. Just no, the epitome of basement no cap signing

Raiding the the Chiefs wide receiver room is like raiding the Raiders everything else.

BakoSaint 02-28-2024 11:13 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido (Post 993376)
Apparently, Cam was playing through an ankle injury of which we were not aware.

https://twitter.com/wyche89/status/1760290347706454144

Tell me you are restructuring and kicking the can on a player coming off a disappointing season without telling me you are restructuring and kicking the can on a player coming off a disappointing season. This strikes me as more PR cover. Next thing you know it will leak that Carlos Ruiz played through a prolapsed rectum for 17 games in 2023 but DA let it drop in an interview on twitter that he is back at full strength in 2024 and is the anchor the oline set for the pro bowl.

Sinner 02-29-2024 10:14 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BakoSaint (Post 993691)
Tell me you are restructuring and kicking the can on a player coming off a disappointing season without telling me you are restructuring and kicking the can on a player coming off a disappointing season. This strikes me as more PR cover. Next thing you know it will leak that Carlos Ruiz played through a prolapsed rectum for 17 games in 2023 but DA let it drop in an interview on twitter that he is back at full strength in 2024 and is the anchor the oline set for the pro bowl.

Oh he’ll tell you.

K Major 02-29-2024 10:25 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SmashMouth (Post 993682)

Jeff Ireland ...

You're right. Saints have SERIOUS work to do.

SmashMouth 02-29-2024 01:06 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by K Major (Post 993715)
Jeff Ireland ...

You're right. Saints have SERIOUS work to do.

Never seen Jeff Ireland so stressed out looking. Dude has circles over circles below his eyes. :awe:

AsylumGuido 03-01-2024 12:29 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Why not bring back Morstead?


AsylumGuido 03-01-2024 12:30 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 

AsylumGuido 03-01-2024 12:42 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 

Sinner 03-01-2024 01:39 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido (Post 993768)

Considering how much we’ll be punting, and since “winning championships is not the goal”, yeah why not?

The Dude 03-02-2024 03:36 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sinner (Post 992593)
Quido, it’s a game.

1. The whole objective is to WIN the game. To WIN IT ALL.
2. This team and organization is consistently FAILING to achieve that objective.
3. The fans are seeing NO SIGNS OF ANY RADICAL CHANGES to the strategy.
4. The fans (customers) have all the power to DEMAND BETTER.

You have every right to enjoy mediocrity, and to keep buying the merch, and to keep driving 10 hours round trip to proudly cheer on a sub-standard product.

We have every right to vent our misery with what promises to remain sub-standard for as long as lovely lady Gayle is alive, and beyond.

This forum is not just a place to masturbate over someone making the Pro Bowl, who hasn’t even gotten into the “PLAYOFFS?!?!?” It’s a place where we can exchange our points of view about a team that has all the potential in the world to WIN IT ALL, and yet, is being run into a swamp of irrelevance.

It’s just a game. As soon as many of us “log off”, we have lives outside of this multi-million dollar failing “entertainment” enterprise.

He doesn't know about logging off because he never has. He just sits hitting the refresh button until he sees a response worth berating someone over. If he doesn't find one after about 5 minutes he just responds to himself multiple times.
You will know on the rare occasion when he logs off because it’ll be preceded by weeks of bragging about some cheap ass cruise he's about to take.

Sinner 03-02-2024 03:42 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by The Dude (Post 993814)
He doesn't know about logging off because he never has. He just sits hitting the refresh button until he sees a response worth berating someone over. If he doesn't find one after about 5 minutes he just responds to himself multiple times.
You will know on the rare occasion when he logs off because it’ll be preceded by weeks of bragging about some cheap ass cruise he's about to take.

Between that and hitting the UN-IGNORE button, and spray painting his tutu and pom poms black and gold, he must be a busy man.

Rugby Saint II 03-02-2024 03:55 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Klint Kubiak loves his tight ends and if Brock Bowers is there at 14 we should grab him. If not, there should be some good tackles left on the board. We need to prepare for Ram's retirement and/or Penning's limitations. Right now, I have zero confidence in our tackles.

WhoDat!656 03-03-2024 04:03 AM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
3 Potential Wide Receiver Free Agents For the Saints to Target

https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl...2c1f24c&ei=193

SmashMouth 03-03-2024 04:22 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
https://saintswire.usatoday.com/2024...ts-salary-cap/

:awe:

lee909 03-03-2024 05:36 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
Kendrick Bourne
A soon to be 29 year old coming off a ACL injury. 6 years in the league and 20 starts. No thanks


Tyler Boyd got a lot on wear on him, turns 30 this year.
His salary will be far higher than you want to pay on a short term player

Jennings is the one of them 3.


Don't sign old players
Especially on back loaded deals

lee909 03-03-2024 05:37 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Rugby Saint II (Post 993816)
Klint Kubiak loves his tight ends and if Brock Bowers is there at 14 we should grab him. If not, there should be some good tackles left on the board. We need to prepare for Ram's retirement and/or Penning's limitations. Right now, I have zero confidence in our tackles.


Would be stupid to go TE imho. No point in offensive weapons if you can't keep tne QB off his backside.

AsylumGuido 03-04-2024 08:22 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SmashMouth (Post 993836)

The article doesn't match the title. The article talks about how his contract isn't as bad as some other blogger rated it.

BakoSaint 03-04-2024 10:36 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido (Post 993842)
The article doesn't match the title. The article talks about how his contract isn't as bad as some other blogger rated it.

His contract is not the worst part. Its the team that gave him the contract, what his contract means for us, with our cap situation. If any other team had given him the contract they could pull the rip cord and escape it before paying him $40 million 2025 or $50 million in 2026. The $50 million in 2026 was even discussed as not being real, effectively a void year, looking at the modest cost to bail on the deal at that point, which would be leverage to renegotiate at a more reasonable number if it was working out. But with the way the Saints manage the salary cap starting every year $100 million over the cap and restructuring every deal, we can't afford the dead cap that comes with pulling the rip cord on a deal this big, because that modest sum to get out of the deal if needed increases with every restructure. For any other team, Carr's contract would be a roll of the dice that is done in 2 years if it fails. For the Saints, its ride or die for the long term on Carr being elite, and that is what makes it a disaster. DeShaun Watson's deal is fully guaranteed, making it a disaster. The truth is that Derek Carr's deal is really fully guaranteed too, not because the language of the contract prevents Carr from ever being cut, but because the the state of the Saints salary cap and the way they manage it prevents him from ever being cut. But at least Watson's contract expires and the Browns will not be inquiring about an extension. With Carr, an extension in 2027 is highly probable to avoid what will be a $60 million or so dead cap hit at the time if he is not extended just after restructuring his 2025 $50 million salary to kick the can on another $40 million of it.

AsylumGuido 03-04-2024 10:53 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BakoSaint (Post 993846)
His contract is not the worst part. Its the team that gave him the contract, what his contract means for us, with our cap situation. If any other team had given him the contract they could pull the rip cord and escape it before paying him $40 million 2025 or $50 million in 2026. The $50 million in 2026 was even discussed as not being real, effectively a void year, looking at the modest cost to bail on the deal at that point, which would be leverage to renegotiate at a more reasonable number if it was working out. But with the way the Saints manage the salary cap starting every year $100 million over the cap and restructuring every deal, we can't afford the dead cap that comes with pulling the rip cord on a deal this big, because that modest sum to get out of the deal if needed increases with every restructure. For any other team, Carr's contract would be a roll of the dice that is done in 2 years if it fails. For the Saints, its ride or die for the long term on Carr being elite, and that is what makes it a disaster. DeShaun Watson's deal is fully guaranteed, making it a disaster. The truth is that Derek Carr's deal is really fully guaranteed too, not because the language of the contract prevents Carr from ever being cut, but because the the state of the Saints salary cap and the way they manage it prevents him from ever being cut. But at least Watson's contract expires and the Browns will not be inquiring about an extension. With Carr, an extension in 2027 is highly probable to avoid what will be a $60 million or so dead cap hit at the time if he is not extended just after restructuring his 2025 $50 million salary to kick the can on another $40 million of it.

Whatever ...

:rolleyes:

AsylumGuido 03-04-2024 10:56 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 

Sinner 03-04-2024 11:06 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido (Post 993850)
Whatever ...

:rolleyes:

Translation: I see what you’re saying, but I don’t want to.

The Dude 03-04-2024 08:13 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Rugby Saint II (Post 993816)
Klint Kubiak loves his tight ends and if Brock Bowers is there at 14 we should grab him. If not, there should be some good tackles left on the board. We need to prepare for Ram's retirement and/or Penning's limitations. Right now, I have zero confidence in our tackles.

I would rather get some production out of the huge collection of first round offensive lineman we already have but I guess that's asking too much. I feel like we can get equally mediocre play out of a 2nd or 3rd round tackle. Save the first rounder for another player with raw potential and huge upside with an injury history.

BakoSaint 03-04-2024 08:36 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by The Dude (Post 993871)
I would rather get some production out of the huge collection of first round offensive lineman we already have but I guess that's asking too much. I feel like we can get equally mediocre play out of a 2nd or 3rd round tackle. Save the first rounder for another player with raw potential and huge upside with an injury history.

Lets talk about this 'huge collection.'

Andrus Peat was technically a 1st round pick, 9 years ago, but is now a 30 year old injury riddled journeyman level player who has switched position twice due to performance issues and commands a $4 million salary as a borderline replacement starter / quality backup. The fact that he commanded a 1st round pick in 2015 is irrelevant today. It's like trying to bring back Bortles as our backup QB to get production out of him because he was once a 1st round pick, demanding that a late career Robert Meachem should have been penciled in as an elite starter for the Saints in his final year with the team in 2014 because he has been a 1st round pick in 2008. It just does not work that way.

Trevor Penning was a late 1st round pick 2 years ago but has been historically bad, Jamarcus Russel / Ryan Leaf except at oline bad. At this point his salary is guaranteed but it might be best to focus on how he could contribute on special teams or learn long snapping to secure his roster spot since he did not see the field at the end of the year even when everyone else was injured.

Ryan Ramczyk was an excellent 1st round pick 7 years ago. But like another great Saints Right Tackle Kyle Turley, he broke down after 6 seasons, as some big men do. He has a degenerative knee condition and we cannot control what production we get out of him. He may be an 'unfortunate setback' away from retirement and unfortunate setbacks are incredibly common in these situations. The front office is optimistic about his recovery, but they financially can't afford to cut him, so they have to be, and he is nowhere near being able to practice.

Carlos Ruiz was a late 1st round pick 4 years ago. He is a mediocre right guard and every indication is thats what he is. Maybe one year he will play a little above average, another year a little below average, depending on his contract status.

So realistically, who are we going to get more out of there? We have 3 first round picks but one is ancient and near retirement and was never great. One has been a total bust. One has a degenerative knee. One is proven mediocre. We aren't going to get more out of them, except that 'less is more' with Penning so if he doesn't play that will be giving us more. But Peat was better than expected in 2023 and is likely to revert to the mean on injuries, Ram's knee is degenerative and more likely to get worse than better, and Ruiz has always been 'meh.'

So you can ignore the positon because of two recent missed in Penning and Ruiz and because you personally demand that Ram have a longer career than Kyle Turley and completely ignore Peat's age and history, and you can draft another position because Penning spooked you about oline. But ignoring the positon won't solve it, and Carr will be on his back remembering that some receiver you wanted was open if he had another minute to throw.

AsylumGuido 03-05-2024 07:36 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BakoSaint (Post 993872)
Lets talk about this 'huge collection.'

Andrus Peat was technically a 1st round pick, 9 years ago, but is now a 30 year old injury riddled journeyman level player who has switched position twice due to performance issues and commands a $4 million salary as a borderline replacement starter / quality backup. The fact that he commanded a 1st round pick in 2015 is irrelevant today. It's like trying to bring back Bortles as our backup QB to get production out of him because he was once a 1st round pick, demanding that a late career Robert Meachem should have been penciled in as an elite starter for the Saints in his final year with the team in 2014 because he has been a 1st round pick in 2008. It just does not work that way.

Trevor Penning was a late 1st round pick 2 years ago but has been historically bad, Jamarcus Russel / Ryan Leaf except at oline bad. At this point his salary is guaranteed but it might be best to focus on how he could contribute on special teams or learn long snapping to secure his roster spot since he did not see the field at the end of the year even when everyone else was injured.

Ryan Ramczyk was an excellent 1st round pick 7 years ago. But like another great Saints Right Tackle Kyle Turley, he broke down after 6 seasons, as some big men do. He has a degenerative knee condition and we cannot control what production we get out of him. He may be an 'unfortunate setback' away from retirement and unfortunate setbacks are incredibly common in these situations. The front office is optimistic about his recovery, but they financially can't afford to cut him, so they have to be, and he is nowhere near being able to practice.

Carlos Ruiz was a late 1st round pick 4 years ago. He is a mediocre right guard and every indication is thats what he is. Maybe one year he will play a little above average, another year a little below average, depending on his contract status.

So realistically, who are we going to get more out of there? We have 3 first round picks but one is ancient and near retirement and was never great. One has been a total bust. One has a degenerative knee. One is proven mediocre. We aren't going to get more out of them, except that 'less is more' with Penning so if he doesn't play that will be giving us more. But Peat was better than expected in 2023 and is likely to revert to the mean on injuries, Ram's knee is degenerative and more likely to get worse than better, and Ruiz has always been 'meh.'

So you can ignore the positon because of two recent missed in Penning and Ruiz and because you personally demand that Ram have a longer career than Kyle Turley and completely ignore Peat's age and history, and you can draft another position because Penning spooked you about oline. But ignoring the positon won't solve it, and Carr will be on his back remembering that some receiver you wanted was open if he had another minute to throw.

You are assuming that what we currently have cannot be further developed. Did you listen to Jason Kelce's retirement speech yesterday? If not, do. He spoke of reaching a point five years into his career and a season in which fans and media alike wanted to run him out of town. He's even said he would have run himself out of town as badly as he was playing.

"I had an awful start to that season (2016) where I was often overpowered, had many holding penalties that cost our team, and looked like one of the worst centers in the league. I was wanted out of town by nearly everyone. And it wasn't just the fans that wanted me gone. It was nearly everyone in this organization. That offseason, I heard trade rumors galore and speculation I'd be cut. I imagine if the Eagles had received a trade offer for a brand new set of washing machines, they may have pulled the trigger. Hell, if I was in charge, I would have pulled the trigger. There's only one person in this building who still wanted me. And it's he who I have to thank most for the career I've had, that's Jeff Stoutland (offensive line coach)."

"Stout was the one who believed in me. He was adamant my problems could be fixed with proper technique, fundamentals, and work. And work we did. That offseason and Training Camp, I focused on using my hands better, playing with leverage, proper footwork, and prepared with an edge to prove to myself that I was good enough. The following season in 2017 I enjoyed the finest season of my 13-year career not only as a player, but as a team."

So much of being successful on the offensive line has to do with technique. With the right coaching Penning and Ruiz can be studs. Maybe not as great as Kelce, but definitely better than anyone that could be plugged in as raw as ALL linemen are entering the league today.

AsylumGuido 03-05-2024 09:37 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
By the way, here's a transcript of Kelce's announcement. One of the best I've ever heard.

BakoSaint 03-05-2024 10:29 AM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido (Post 993877)
You are assuming that what we currently have cannot be further developed. Did you listen to Jason Kelce's retirement speech yesterday? If not, do. He spoke of reaching a point five years into his career and a season in which fans and media alike wanted to run him out of town. He's even said he would have run himself out of town as badly as he was playing.

"I had an awful start to that season (2016) where I was often overpowered, had many holding penalties that cost our team, and looked like one of the worst centers in the league. I was wanted out of town by nearly everyone. And it wasn't just the fans that wanted me gone. It was nearly everyone in this organization. That offseason, I heard trade rumors galore and speculation I'd be cut. I imagine if the Eagles had received a trade offer for a brand new set of washing machines, they may have pulled the trigger. Hell, if I was in charge, I would have pulled the trigger. There's only one person in this building who still wanted me. And it's he who I have to thank most for the career I've had, that's Jeff Stoutland (offensive line coach)."

"Stout was the one who believed in me. He was adamant my problems could be fixed with proper technique, fundamentals, and work. And work we did. That offseason and Training Camp, I focused on using my hands better, playing with leverage, proper footwork, and prepared with an edge to prove to myself that I was good enough. The following season in 2017 I enjoyed the finest season of my 13-year career not only as a player, but as a team."

So much of being successful on the offensive line has to do with technique. With the right coaching Penning and Ruiz can be studs. Maybe not as great as Kelce, but definitely better than anyone that could be plugged in as raw as ALL linemen are entering the league today.

2016 Jason Kelce, the underdog in this uplifting story, had a 71.4 PFF rating, higher than 3 of 5 seasons of Erik McCoy. Other than his 62.5 rookie season, that was Kelce's worst. Cesar Ruiz has had a PFF rating in the 50's every year of his career. Somehow Penning had a 73.6 rating in extremely limited snaps in jumbo formations in 2022 but was also in the 50's in 2023. So the problem is, while any player at any position could potentially improve, Penning and Ruiz have never had any season playing one of the regular 5 positions on the offensive line where they came close to matching the performance of Jason Kelce's worst season as a pro. Kelce's rookie season in 2011 was his worst season and in that season his performance matched the average of Erik McCoy's 2021 and 2022 seasons except with Kelce playing about 25% more snaps than McCoy managed either of those seasons. Kelce's next worse season, the 2016 campaign he mentions, is very similar to McCoy's 2020 season, essentially the median of McCoy's years in performance. Every other year of Kelce's career from 2012-2015 and 2017-2023 is in line with or much better than McCoy's best years. Kelce's 'almost getting kicked off the team' is the Saints 'anchoring the offensive line with consistency.'

While Penning and Ruiz, and based on Kelce's example more like a better McCoy for Kelce's early career, could improve, there is no reason they are more likely to improve than other players. Haener could be the next Mahomes. We could start Penning at Left Tackle and Taylor at slot corner week 1 and Penning could have the same problems as last year while Taylor could become the best slot corner in NFL history. The offensive lineman we drafted in the 4th round this year who testified against a russian oligarch shortly after signing and was never heard from again could become a pro bowler. Foskey or Turner could be the answer on pass rush. AT Perry could learn to block and begin drawing comparisons to Hines Ward if his blocking improves as much as some are suggesting Penning's will. Kendre Miller could become the next Christian McCaffery by improving his receiving skills and developing as a runner. Juwon Johnson could turn out to be the next Travis Kelce after his consistent progress was set back by a down year.

My point is that unexpected improvement is possible at any position. Expecting massive improvement is a risky bet. You could call that the 'Ridder strategy' and it did not work so well for Atlanta. We have draft picks and we have to invest them somewhere, so I think a reasonable way to approach that is 'where do we need the most help if the players we have don't make suddenly improve?' It's one thing to fact in steady progress we have already seen, like Shaheed and Olave's major positive development during 2022 set us up to expect continued progress in 2023, but its another thing to hold back on new investments in a position because of completely hypothetical progress.

I tend to disagree that a newly drafted offensive lineman could not step in and give us more than Penning or Ruiz. We have never seen a pff score above the 50's while playing a regular 5 oline position from Penning or Ruiz. So you are saying its impossible that any rookie, even at #14 overall, could give us a 60 pff score. McCoy's pff score in his rookie season in 2019 was 76.2. Broderick Jones went #14 overall last year and had a rookie PFF score of 60.7. Anton Harrison at #27 had 53.0. Steve Avila at #36 had 61.1. Matthew Bergeron at #38 had 59.5. Joe Tippman at #43 had 61. Cody Mauch at #48 had a lowly 44.7. John Michael Scmitz at #57 had a lowly 41.4. O'Cyrus Torrence at #59 had a 56.0. Juice Scruggs at #62 had a 51.5. So, of 9 offensive lineman selected between pick 14 and the end of the 2nd round in last years draft, 3 had PFF ratings in the 60's, slightly better than Cesar Ruiz has ever had, 5 had ratings in the 50's comperable to what Ruiz has always done, and 2 had ratings in the 40's with rookie struggles. So overall, if we draft oline it seems likely they could step right in and perform as well or better than Ruiz or Penning, with more chance to grow because they have not already plateaued.

Overall, long term, I think we have spent too many 1st round picks on oline and not enough mid round picks, especially at guard and center positions. But unfortunately right now we have urgent needs at oline and don't have a lot of mid round picks due to trades, nor extra time to wait on what might sometimes be slightly slower development. For those who complain that we have invested enough in oline looking at the 1st round picks, I think they need to consider that we have actually underinvested in the position in the draft when you factor in mid-round picks, relying too much on every 1st rounder to be a sure thing lock starter and utilizing undrafted free agents and journeymen as thrifty backups, since who needs backups when all your line are 1st round studs. But what we should have to done is invested more mid round picks, and set up competition. Jason Kelce was a 6th round pick who came in and beat Cesar Ruiz's best season his rookie year and beat McCoy's best season almost every year of his career. Evans and Nicks were similar mid round picks. But at some point Mickey Loomis developed a taste for golf and cocktails on day 2-3 and started trading away all our mid round picks and 'solving' the oline problem with 1st round golden boys. Long term, I would like to get back to investing enough mid round picks in the position to set up competition. But right now we need a left tackle, and thats the hardest position to find in the middle rounds. And if drafting another lights a fire under Penning, thats a great value too.

Rugby Saint II 03-05-2024 02:33 PM

Re: 2024 Saints Off-Season General News and Discussion
 
We're gearing up for free agency and I've got my fingers crossed for another O line and possession Wide receiver.

AsylumGuido 03-05-2024 02:59 PM

Re: Official 2024 Free Agency Discussion
 
It looks like a lot of safeties are getting released all across the league.


The are currently 51 UFA safeties across the league not including those recently released.


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